Oxford United vs Peterborough: prediction and stats
League OneRegular Season - 45Kick-off on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Kassam Stadium, Oxford, Oxfordshire
The Footlab AI model makes Oxford United the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Peterborough. The most likely score is 1-1. If Oxford United wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,542 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oxford United vs Peterborough?
Oxford United starts as the favourite with a 118-point Elo edge (1,857 vs 1,739).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Oxford United vs Peterborough
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Oxford United
4-2-3-1- 9M. Harris
- 23S. Dembélé
- 11T. Goodrham
- 4Kai Andrews
- 8C. Brannagan
- 32L. Sibley
- 6M. Helik
- 26J. Currie
- 3C. Brown
- 30P. Kioso
- 1J. Cumming
Peterborough
4-2-3-1- 9H. Leonard
- 4L. Kelly
- 19Bolu Shofowoke
- 45Harry Ashfield
- 10Ethan Williams
- 17Vernon Masara
- 2C. Johnston
- 14Harley Mills
- 18Lucca Mendonça
- 6T. O'Connor
- 1A. Bass
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 09:18 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oxford United have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Peterborough have 3, 5 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Reading(home) | 2-0 | League One |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Barnsley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Stockport County(home) | 1-0 | League One |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-0 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Wigan(home) | 2-1 | League One |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Luton(home) | 0-2 | League One |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Bradford(away) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bromley(away) | 1-1 | League One |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Huddersfield(away) | 1-4 | League One |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Burton Albion(home) | 2-2 | League One |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oxford United wins, 2 draws, 1 Peterborough win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 2024 | Oxford United 2-0 Peterborough | League Cup |
| May 8, 2024 | Peterborough 1-1 Oxford United | League One |
| May 4, 2024 | Oxford United 1-0 Peterborough | League One |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Oxford United 5-0 Peterborough | League One |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Peterborough 3-0 Oxford United | League One |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Peterborough 0-0 Oxford United | League One |
Last archived meeting: Oxford United vs Peterborough on Aug 13, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Oxford United score 1.6 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Peterborough score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oxford United | 1.6 | 1.0 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Peterborough | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oxford United sit 3rd in League One (26 points from 13 matches) and Peterborough sit 22nd (10 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Oxford United | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 22 | 11 | 26 |
| 22 | Peterborough | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 23 | 10 |
A question about Oxford United vs Peterborough?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oxford United vs Peterborough?
- The Footlab AI model makes Oxford United the favourite at 60%, against 23% for a draw and 17% for Peterborough.
- Where and when is Oxford United vs Peterborough played?
- Oxford United vs Peterborough is played on May 1, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Kassam Stadium, in the League One.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.