Libertad vs Aucas: result 1-1 and analysis
Liga Pro2nd Round - 11Kick-off on October 26, 2024 at 03:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Federativo Reina del Cisne, Loja
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What was the result of Libertad vs Aucas?
Libertad and Aucas drew 1-1 on October 26, 2024.
Goalscorers
- 15′E. CaicedoLibertad
- 68′J. BlancoAucas
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Libertad have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Aucas have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2024 | Orense SC(away) | 0-1 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Cumbayá(home) | 2-1 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Barcelona SC(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 26, 2024 | Mushuc Runa SC(away) | 1-2 | Copa Ecuador |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Independiente del Valle(home) | 1-1 | Liga Pro |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2024 | Macara(home) | 3-1 | Liga Pro |
| Oct 6, 2024 | Emelec(away) | 0-0 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Deportivo Cuenca(home) | 1-4 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 21, 2024 | Cumbayá(away) | 3-0 | Liga Pro |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Mushuc Runa SC(home) | 1-2 | Liga Pro |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Libertad win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Aucas win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2024 | Aucas 0-1 Libertad | Copa Ecuador |
| May 5, 2024 | Aucas 2-0 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Aucas 1-2 Libertad | Liga Pro |
| Apr 1, 2023 | Libertad 2-2 Aucas | Liga Pro |
How many goals should we expect?
Libertad score 0.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Aucas score 1.1 and concede 1.6.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libertad | 0.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
| Aucas | 1.1 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Libertad sit 8th in Liga Pro (34 points from 25 matches) and Aucas sit 4th (41 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aucas | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 29 | 26 | 41 |
| 8 | Libertad | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 29 | 34 |
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy