Lida vs Minsk II: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen Start, Lida
The Footlab model makes Lida the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Minsk II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lida vs Minsk II?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Lida (1,492) and Minsk II (1,397).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lida have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Minsk II have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Niva(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 0-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 4-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(home) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Lida win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Minsk II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Minsk II 2-1 Lida | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2025 | Lida 3-1 Minsk II | 1. Division |
| Apr 11, 2025 | Minsk II 2-3 Lida | 1. Division |
| Nov 22, 2014 | Lida 1-3 Minsk II | 1. Division |
| Jul 19, 2014 | Minsk II 0-1 Lida | 1. Division |
| Nov 2, 2013 | Lida 2-0 Minsk II | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Lida score 2.2 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Minsk II score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lida | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Minsk II | 1.7 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lida sit 3rd in 1. Division (39 points from 21 matches) and Minsk II sit 10th (29 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lida | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 40 | 34 | 39 |
| 5 | Lida | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 20 |
| 10 | Minsk II | 21 | 9 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 29 |
| 17 | Minsk II | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lida vs Minsk II?
- The Footlab model makes Lida the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Minsk II.
- Where and when is Lida vs Minsk II played?
- Lida vs Minsk II is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen Start, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.