Bumprom vs Lida: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 25Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Bumprom the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Lida. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bumprom vs Lida?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Bumprom (1,493) and Lida (1,492).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bumprom have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Lida have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(away) | 4-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Slonim(away) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | BATE II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Uni Minsk(away) | 1-1 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Niva(home) | 3-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk(away) | 2-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FC Slutsk(home) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Dinamo Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ostrovets FC(away) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Bumprom win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lida win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Lida 0-2 Bumprom | 1. Division |
| Sep 27, 2025 | Bumprom 3-2 Lida | 1. Division |
| May 25, 2025 | Lida 3-1 Bumprom | 1. Division |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Lida 0-0 Bumprom | 1. Division |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Bumprom 4-1 Lida | 1. Division |
| Aug 21, 2023 | Bumprom 2-0 Lida | 1. Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Bumprom score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Lida score 2.2 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 73% probability of over 2.5 goals and 72% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bumprom | 1.9 | 1.3 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Lida | 2.2 | 1.9 | 2 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bumprom sit 7th in 1. Division (34 points from 21 matches) and Lida sit 3rd (39 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lida | 21 | 12 | 3 | 6 | 40 | 34 | 39 |
| 3 | Bumprom | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 23 |
| 5 | Lida | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 22 | 20 |
| 7 | Bumprom | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 29 | 34 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bumprom vs Lida?
- The Footlab model makes Bumprom the favourite at 46%, against 22% for a draw and 32% for Lida.
- Where and when is Bumprom vs Lida played?
- Bumprom vs Lida is played on September 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 73% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.