Ostrovets FC vs Gomel II: prediction and stats
1. DivisionRegular Season - 24Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadyen ASK, Astravets
The Footlab model makes Ostrovets FC the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Gomel II. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ostrovets FC vs Gomel II?
Ostrovets FC starts as the favourite with a 141-point Elo edge (1,404 vs 1,263).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ostrovets FC have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Gomel II have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Smorgon(away) | 1-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bumprom(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Minsk II(away) | 2-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Osipovichy(home) | 2-0 | 1. Division |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lida(home) | 1-3 | 1. Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Uni Minsk(home) | 0-4 | 1. Division |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Molodechno-DYuSSh 4(away) | 0-3 | 1. Division |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Shakhter Soligorsk(home) | 3-1 | 1. Division |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Orsha(away) | 1-2 | 1. Division |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Volna(home) | 1-4 | 1. Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Ostrovets FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Gomel II win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 15, 2026 | Gomel II 0-0 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Gomel II 2-3 Ostrovets FC | 1. Division |
| Jul 4, 2025 | Ostrovets FC 1-2 Gomel II | 1. Division |
Last archived meeting: Gomel II vs Ostrovets FC on May 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ostrovets FC score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Gomel II score 1.3 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ostrovets FC | 1.7 | 1.5 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Gomel II | 1.3 | 1.9 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ostrovets FC sit 12th in 1. Division (24 points from 21 matches) and Gomel II sit 16th (20 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Ostrovets FC | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | Ostrovets FC | 21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | 25 | 31 | 24 |
| 15 | Gomel II | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 10 |
| 16 | Gomel II | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 28 | 37 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ostrovets FC vs Gomel II?
- The Footlab model makes Ostrovets FC the favourite at 54%, against 23% for a draw and 23% for Gomel II.
- Where and when is Ostrovets FC vs Gomel II played?
- Ostrovets FC vs Gomel II is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadyen ASK, in the 1. Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.