Lidköping vs Vänersborgs FK: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra GötalandNorra Götaland - 24Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Framnäs IP, Lidköping
The Footlab model makes Lidköping the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Vänersborgs FK. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lidköping vs Vänersborgs FK?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Lidköping (1,392) and Vänersborgs FK (1,360).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lidköping have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Vänersborgs FK have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Ahlafors(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 16, 2026 | IF Karlstad II(away) | 0-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Stenungsund(home) | 1-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Husqvarna(away) | 0-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 25, 2026 | IFK Skövde(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | IFK Skövde(home) | 0-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Vänersborgs IF(away) | 2-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Skara(away) | 0-4 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Herrestads(home) | 2-4 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Motala(away) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lidköping win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Vänersborgs FK win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2026 | Vänersborgs FK 2-1 Lidköping | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 27, 2025 | Vänersborgs FK 1-1 Lidköping | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Apr 25, 2025 | Lidköping 0-0 Vänersborgs FK | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Oct 20, 2024 | Lidköping 3-0 Vänersborgs FK | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jun 7, 2024 | Vänersborgs FK 3-1 Lidköping | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 6, 2023 | Lidköping 1-0 Vänersborgs FK | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: Vänersborgs FK vs Lidköping on Apr 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lidköping score 0.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Vänersborgs FK score 1.3 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lidköping | 0.9 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Vänersborgs FK | 1.3 | 2.0 | 3 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lidköping sit 12th in Division 2 - Norra Götaland (8 points from 13 matches) and Vänersborgs FK sit 10th (13 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Vänersborgs FK | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 24 | 13 |
| 10 | Vänersborgs FK | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 33 | 19 |
| 11 | Lidköping | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 37 | 14 |
| 12 | Lidköping | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 32 | 8 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lidköping vs Vänersborgs FK?
- The Footlab model makes Lidköping the favourite at 41%, against 27% for a draw and 32% for Vänersborgs FK.
- Where and when is Lidköping vs Vänersborgs FK played?
- Lidköping vs Vänersborgs FK is played on October 3, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Framnäs IP, in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.