Stenungsund vs IFK Skövde: prediction and stats
Division 2 - Norra GötalandNorra Götaland - 24Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Olssons Trävaror Arena, Stenungsund
The Footlab model makes Stenungsund the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for IFK Skövde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Stenungsund vs IFK Skövde?
IFK Skövde starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,521 vs 1,400).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Stenungsund have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; IFK Skövde have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Grebbestad(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kumla(home) | 5-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Lidköping(away) | 2-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Skara(home) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Trollhättan(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Vänersborgs FK(away) | 1-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Falkenbergs FF(home) | 2-2 | Svenska Cupen |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Herrestads(home) | 2-2 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Grebbestad(away) | 1-1 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Ahlafors(home) | 0-0 | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Stenungsund win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 IFK Skövde win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | IFK Skövde 2-0 Stenungsund | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 30, 2024 | IFK Skövde 2-2 Stenungsund | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| May 4, 2024 | Stenungsund 0-2 IFK Skövde | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Stenungsund 1-3 IFK Skövde | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Apr 1, 2023 | IFK Skövde 0-1 Stenungsund | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
| Nov 20, 2021 | IFK Skövde 1-2 Stenungsund | Division 2 - Norra Götaland |
Last archived meeting: IFK Skövde vs Stenungsund on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Stenungsund score 1.9 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; IFK Skövde score 1.8 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stenungsund | 1.9 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| IFK Skövde | 1.8 | 1.2 | 5 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Stenungsund sit 6th in Division 2 - Norra Götaland (18 points from 13 matches) and IFK Skövde sit 3rd (28 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | IFK Skövde | 13 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 28 |
| 3 | IFK Skövde | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 34 |
| 6 | Stenungsund | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 18 |
| 7 | Stenungsund | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 34 | 25 | 26 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Stenungsund vs IFK Skövde?
- The Footlab model makes Stenungsund the favourite at 39%, against 25% for a draw and 36% for IFK Skövde.
- Where and when is Stenungsund vs IFK Skövde played?
- Stenungsund vs IFK Skövde is played on October 3, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Olssons Trävaror Arena, in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.