Ligorna vs Sestri Levante: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Ligorna, Genova
The Footlab AI model makes Ligorna the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Sestri Levante. The most likely score is 1-1. If Ligorna wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.7% of the 3,833 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 29, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ligorna vs Sestri Levante?
Ligorna starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,888 vs 1,739).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ligorna vs Sestri Levante
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ligorna
Not enough data to predict the Ligorna lineup.
Sestri Levante
Not enough data to predict the Sestri Levante lineup.
Computed on October 29, 2026 at 07:22 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ligorna have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Sestri Levante have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Valenzana(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Bra(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Gozzano(away) | 4-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Saluzzo(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Chisola(away) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Saluzzo(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Sanremese(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Celle Varazze(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Oct 7, 2026 | Pistoiese(home) | 1-0 | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Borgosesia(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ligorna wins, 2 draws, 2 Sestri Levante wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Sestri Levante 0-1 Ligorna | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Ligorna 1-1 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 11, 2023 | Ligorna 1-1 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Sestri Levante 1-0 Ligorna | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 2, 2022 | Ligorna 2-1 Sestri Levante | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Apr 14, 2022 | Ligorna 1-2 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Sestri Levante vs Ligorna on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ligorna score 2.3 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Sestri Levante score 0.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligorna | 2.3 | 1.2 | 5 | 10/15 | 10/15 |
| Sestri Levante | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ligorna sit 5th in Serie D - Girone A (13 points from 8 matches) and Sestri Levante sit 13th (9 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ligorna | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 13 | Sestri Levante | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 9 |
A question about Ligorna vs Sestri Levante?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ligorna vs Sestri Levante?
- The Footlab AI model makes Ligorna the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Sestri Levante.
- Where and when is Ligorna vs Sestri Levante played?
- Ligorna vs Sestri Levante is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.