Ligorna vs Sestri Levante: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone AGroup A - 10Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Campo Sportivo Ligorna, Genova
The Footlab model makes Ligorna the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sestri Levante. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ligorna vs Sestri Levante?
Ligorna starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,876 vs 1,748).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ligorna have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Sestri Levante have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 17, 2026 | Città di Varese(home) | 5-3 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 10, 2026 | Chisola(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone A |
| May 3, 2026 | NovaRomentin(home) | 9-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Asti(away) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Biellese(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Sampdoria U20(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Genoa U20(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 3, 2026 | Sanremese(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Celle Varazze(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Asti(home) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Ligorna win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Sestri Levante win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2026 | Sestri Levante 0-1 Ligorna | Serie D - Girone A |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Ligorna 1-1 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Apr 11, 2023 | Ligorna 1-1 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 13, 2022 | Sestri Levante 1-0 Ligorna | Serie D - Girone A |
| Nov 2, 2022 | Ligorna 2-1 Sestri Levante | Coppa Italia Serie D |
| Apr 14, 2022 | Ligorna 1-2 Sestri Levante | Serie D - Girone A |
Last archived meeting: Sestri Levante vs Ligorna on Feb 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ligorna score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sestri Levante score 1.1 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ligorna | 1.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Sestri Levante | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1 | 8/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ligorna sit 2nd in Serie D - Girone A (72 points from 34 matches) and Sestri Levante sit 6th (54 points from 34 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ligorna | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 64 | 26 | 72 |
| 6 | Sestri Levante | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 54 | 34 | 54 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ligorna vs Sestri Levante?
- The Footlab model makes Ligorna the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Sestri Levante.
- Where and when is Ligorna vs Sestri Levante played?
- Ligorna vs Sestri Levante is played on November 1, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Campo Sportivo Ligorna, in the Serie D - Girone A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.