Lincoln vs Hereford United: result 3-2 and analysis
National LeagueRegular Season - 23Kick-off on November 17, 2012 at 03:00 PM (UTC)LNER Stadium, Lincoln, Lincolnshire
Full time
What was the result of Lincoln vs Hereford United?
Lincoln won 3-2 on November 17, 2012.
Goalscorers
- 45′Jamie TaylorLincoln
- 55′R. BowmanHereford United
- 71′A. GallinaghLincoln (o.g.)
- 81′Colin LarkinLincoln (pen.)
- 82′W. EvansHereford United
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lincoln have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Hereford United have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2012 | Walsall(away) | 3-2 | FA Cup |
| Nov 10, 2012 | Barrow(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Braintree(home) | 3-0 | National League |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Stockport County(home) | 3-3 | National League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2012 | Wrexham(away) | 2-1 | National League |
| Nov 6, 2012 | Luton(home) | 1-0 | National League |
| Nov 3, 2012 | Shrewsbury(home) | 3-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 27, 2012 | Southport(away) | 2-2 | National League |
| Oct 20, 2012 | United of Manchester(away) | 2-0 | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Lincoln score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Hereford United score 1.4 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Hereford United | 1.4 | 1.5 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy