Lincoln vs Burnley: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 12Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)LNER Stadium, Lincoln, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Lincoln the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Burnley. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lincoln wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lincoln vs Burnley?
Lincoln starts as the favourite with a 116-point Elo edge (2,065 vs 1,949).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lincoln vs Burnley
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lincoln
3-4-2-1- 34F. Draper
- 14C. McGrandles
- 3A. Reach
- 18B. House
- 7R. Hackett
- 8T. Bayliss
- 4A. Coubiș
- 25D. Elerewe
- 15S. Bradley
- 6R. Towler
- 1G. Wickens
Burnley
4-2-3-1- 11Z. Amdouni
- 3Max Alleyne
- 29J. Laurent
- 8U. Raghouber
- 21A. Ramsey
- 7J. Bruun Larsen
- 14C. Roberts
- 44Igor
- 22O. Sonne
- 2K. Walker
- 1M. Weiß
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lincoln have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Burnley have 0, 8 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-4 | League Cup |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Derby(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Swansea(away) | 1-3 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Wrexham(away) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bristol City(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Middlesbrough(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 1 Lincoln win, 0 draws, 0 Burnley wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2017 | Burnley 0-1 Lincoln | FA Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Lincoln score 1.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Burnley score 1.0 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln | 1.0 | 1.6 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Burnley | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1 | 13/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lincoln sit 12th in Championship (11 points from 8 matches) and Burnley sit 24th (4 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 |
| 24 | Burnley | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 4 |
A question about Lincoln vs Burnley?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lincoln vs Burnley?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lincoln the favourite at 54%, against 25% for a draw and 21% for Burnley.
- Where and when is Lincoln vs Burnley played?
- Lincoln vs Burnley is played on October 24, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at LNER Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.