Lincoln vs Middlesbrough: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 36Kick-off on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)LNER Stadium, Lincoln, Lincolnshire
The Footlab AI model makes Lincoln the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Middlesbrough. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lincoln wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,366 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lincoln vs Middlesbrough?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Lincoln (1,999) and Middlesbrough (2,009).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lincoln vs Middlesbrough
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lincoln
3-4-2-1- 34F. Draper
- 14C. McGrandles
- 3A. Reach
- 18B. House
- 8T. Bayliss
- 16D. Jefferies
- 17R. Street
- 25D. Elerewe
- 15S. Bradley
- 6R. Towler
- 1G. Wickens
Middlesbrough
3-4-2-1- 7W. Lankshear
- 2C. Brittain
- 10A. Morris
- 11A. Cozier-Duberry
- 30Neto Borges
- 6S. Berhalter
- 8R. McGree
- 29A. Malanda
- 4A. Phillips
- 12L. Ayling
- 1R. Vítek
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 03:17 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lincoln have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Middlesbrough have 8, 5 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Sheffield Utd(away) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Swansea(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bristol City(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Preston(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bournemouth(away) | 0-4 | League Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stoke City(away) | 3-2 | Championship |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wolves(home) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Birmingham(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Millwall(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Norwich(home) | 4-3 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
In the last meeting: 0 Lincoln wins, 0 draws, 1 Middlesbrough win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Middlesbrough 2-1 Lincoln | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Middlesbrough vs Lincoln on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lincoln score 1.0 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Middlesbrough score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lincoln | 1.0 | 1.7 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Middlesbrough | 1.9 | 1.5 | 3 | 11/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lincoln sit 17th in Championship (11 points from 9 matches) and Middlesbrough sit 2nd (21 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 17 | Lincoln | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 11 |
A question about Lincoln vs Middlesbrough?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lincoln vs Middlesbrough?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lincoln the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Middlesbrough.
- Where and when is Lincoln vs Middlesbrough played?
- Lincoln vs Middlesbrough is played on March 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at LNER Stadium, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.