Lions vs North Sunshine Eagles: prediction and stats
Australia CupQuarter-finalsKick-off on August 25, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC)Luxury Paints Stadium, Brisbane
The Footlab model makes Lions the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for North Sunshine Eagles. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lions vs North Sunshine Eagles?
Lions is a heavy favourite: 2,065 Elo points against 1,637 — a 428-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lions have 13 wins, 1 draws and 1 defeats; North Sunshine Eagles have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Moreton City Excelsior(away) | 2-0 | Queensland NPL |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Melbourne City(home) | 2-0 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Brisbane Roar II(home) | 4-2 | Queensland NPL |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Peninsula Power(home) | 1-0 | Queensland NPL |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Perth Glory(home) | 1-1 | Australia Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brunswick City(home) | 2-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Bulleen Lions(away) | 1-2 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Heidelberg United(home) | 0-0 | Australia Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brunswick Juventus FC(home) | 0-0 | Victoria NPL 2 |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Melbourne Victory II(away) | 0-1 | Victoria NPL 2 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lions score 2.5 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; North Sunshine Eagles score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lions | 2.5 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| North Sunshine Eagles | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lions vs North Sunshine Eagles?
- The Footlab model makes Lions the favourite at 61%, against 20% for a draw and 18% for North Sunshine Eagles.
- Where and when is Lions vs North Sunshine Eagles played?
- Lions vs North Sunshine Eagles is played on August 25, 2026 at 09:30 AM (UTC) at Luxury Paints Stadium, in the Australia Cup.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.