Liverpool vs Fulham: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Anfield, Liverpool
The Footlab model makes Liverpool the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Fulham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Liverpool vs Fulham?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Liverpool (2,190) and Fulham (2,113).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Liverpool have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Fulham have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Como(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Monaco(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leeds(home) | 2-4 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Wrexham(home) | 1-0 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sunderland(home) | 4-2 | Premier League - Summer Series |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | VfB Stuttgart(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Malaga(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Crystal Palace(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Farense(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Al-Ahli Jeddah(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Liverpool win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Fulham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2026 | Liverpool 2-0 Fulham | Premier League |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Fulham 2-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2025 | Fulham 3-2 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Liverpool 2-2 Fulham | Premier League |
| Apr 21, 2024 | Fulham 1-3 Liverpool | Premier League |
| Jan 24, 2024 | Fulham 1-1 Liverpool | League Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Liverpool score 1.5 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fulham score 0.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool | 1.5 | 1.9 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Fulham | 0.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Liverpool sit 5th in Premier League (60 points from 38 matches) and Fulham sit 11th (52 points from 38 matches).
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63 | 53 | 60 |
| 11 | Fulham | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Liverpool vs Fulham?
- The Footlab model makes Liverpool the favourite at 52%, against 24% for a draw and 23% for Fulham.
- Where and when is Liverpool vs Fulham played?
- Liverpool vs Fulham is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Anfield, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.