Livyi Bereh vs Chornomorets: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 20Kick-off on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Livyi Bereh, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Livyi Bereh the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Chornomorets. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Livyi Bereh vs Chornomorets?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Livyi Bereh (1,784) and Chornomorets (1,738).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Livyi Bereh have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; Chornomorets have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dnister Zalishchyky(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polessya(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Livyi Bereh win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Chornomorets win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Chornomorets 0-0 Livyi Bereh | Persha Liga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Livyi Bereh 1-1 Chornomorets | Persha Liga |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Chornomorets 0-1 Livyi Bereh | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Livyi Bereh 1-0 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Livyi Bereh 1-2 Chornomorets | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Livyi Bereh score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Chornomorets score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livyi Bereh | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Chornomorets | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Livyi Bereh sit 12th in Premier League (2 points from 2 matches) and Chornomorets sit 15th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Chornomorets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Livyi Bereh vs Chornomorets?
- The Footlab model makes Livyi Bereh the favourite at 47%, against 29% for a draw and 24% for Chornomorets.
- Where and when is Livyi Bereh vs Chornomorets played?
- Livyi Bereh vs Chornomorets is played on March 20, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Livyi Bereh, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.