Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Chornomorets, Odesa
The Footlab model makes Livyi Bereh the favourite at 36%, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Chornomorets. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Chornomorets (1,739) and Livyi Bereh (1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chornomorets have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Livyi Bereh have 9, 6 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vilkhivtsi(away) | 0-1 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | LNZ Cherkasy(away) | 0-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Polessya(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Kolos Kovalivka(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Nyva Vinnytsya(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dnister Zalishchyky(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Chornomorets win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Livyi Bereh win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Chornomorets 0-0 Livyi Bereh | Persha Liga |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Livyi Bereh 1-1 Chornomorets | Persha Liga |
| Mar 1, 2025 | Chornomorets 0-1 Livyi Bereh | Premier League |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Livyi Bereh 1-0 Chornomorets | Premier League |
| Aug 23, 2023 | Livyi Bereh 1-2 Chornomorets | Cup |
Last archived meeting: Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chornomorets score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Livyi Bereh score 1.7 and concede 0.5. The model gives a 31% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chornomorets | 1.3 | 1.1 | 6 | 6/15 | 8/15 |
| Livyi Bereh | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chornomorets sit 15th in Premier League (0 points from 2 matches) and Livyi Bereh sit 12th (2 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 15 | Chornomorets | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh?
- The Footlab model makes Livyi Bereh the favourite at 36%, against 33% for a draw and 31% for Chornomorets.
- Where and when is Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh played?
- Chornomorets vs Livyi Bereh is played on September 5, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Chornomorets, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 31% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.