Livyi Bereh vs Polessya: prediction and stats
Premier LeagueRegular Season - 6Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Livyi Bereh, Kyiv
The Footlab model makes Polessya the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Livyi Bereh. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Livyi Bereh vs Polessya?
Polessya starts as the favourite with a 163-point Elo edge (1,948 vs 1,785).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Livyi Bereh have 9 wins, 6 draws and 0 defeats; Polessya have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dnister Zalishchyky(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kryvbas KR(away) | 1-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kudrivka(home) | 0-0 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Obolon'-Brovar(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Zorya Luhansk(home) | 1-2 | Premier League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Metalist 1925 Kharkiv(home) | 3-1 | Premier League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chornomorets(away) | 2-1 | Premier League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Jul 23, 2026 | FC Copenhagen(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Livyi Bereh win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Polessya win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 19, 2025 | Livyi Bereh 1-1 Polessya | Premier League |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Polessya 0-0 Livyi Bereh | Premier League |
| Feb 17, 2024 | Polessya 1-0 Livyi Bereh | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: Livyi Bereh vs Polessya on Apr 19, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Livyi Bereh score 1.7 and concede 0.5 goals per match over their last 15; Polessya score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Livyi Bereh | 1.7 | 0.5 | 9 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Polessya | 1.8 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Livyi Bereh sit 12th in Premier League (2 points from 2 matches) and Polessya sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Polessya | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 12 | Livyi Bereh | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Livyi Bereh vs Polessya?
- The Footlab model makes Polessya the favourite at 47%, against 28% for a draw and 25% for Livyi Bereh.
- Where and when is Livyi Bereh vs Polessya played?
- Livyi Bereh vs Polessya is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Livyi Bereh, in the Premier League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.