Llantwit Major vs Baglan Dragons: result 2-0 and analysis
Welsh CupRound of 128Kick-off on September 20, 2025 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Windmill Ground, Llantwit Major
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What was the result of Llantwit Major vs Baglan Dragons?
Llantwit Major won 2-0 on September 20, 2025.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llantwit Major have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Baglan Dragons have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2025 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Trefelin(away) | 3-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Cambrian & Clydach(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 2025 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Trefelin(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 25, 2025 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 22, 2025 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 0 Llantwit Major win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Baglan Dragons win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2025 | Llantwit Major 0-1 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 0-0 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 0-0 Llantwit Major | FAW Championship |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Llantwit Major 1-4 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Llantwit Major vs Baglan Dragons on Mar 8, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Llantwit Major score 0.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Baglan Dragons score 1.0 and concede 1.1.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llantwit Major | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Baglan Dragons | 1.0 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
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