Match

LME vs Luparense: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)

LMELuparense

The Footlab AI model makes Luparense the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for LME. The most likely score is 1-1. If Luparense wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,446 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win LME vs Luparense?

A very open match: only 96 Elo points separate LME (1,632) and Luparense (1,728).

26%30%44%
LME winDrawLuparense win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for LME vs Luparense

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

LME

Not enough data to predict the LME lineup.

Luparense

Not enough data to predict the Luparense lineup.

Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:36 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 7 matches in all competitions, LME have 3 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Luparense have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

LME
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Triestina(home)2-1Serie D - Girone C
Oct 3, 2026Cjarlins Muzane(home)0-3Serie D - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Conegliano(away)1-0Serie D - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Campodarsego(home)1-2Serie D - Girone C
Sep 16, 2026FC Obermais(away)1-1Serie D - Girone C
Luparense
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Este(home)1-0Serie D - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Brian Lignano(away)3-1Serie D - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Clodiense(home)3-0Serie D - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Schio(away)0-0Serie D - Girone C
Sep 16, 2026Virtus Bolzano(home)4-0Serie D - Girone C

How many goals should we expect?

LME score 1.0 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 7; Luparense score 1.6 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
LME1.01.124/74/7
Luparense1.60.767/156/15

Over the last 7 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

LME sit 9th in Serie D - Girone C (8 points from 6 matches) and Luparense sit 2nd (14 points from 6 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Luparense642014314
9LME6222578

A question about LME vs Luparense?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for LME vs Luparense?
The Footlab AI model makes Luparense the favourite at 44%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for LME.
Where and when is LME vs Luparense played?
LME vs Luparense is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: LME and Luparense

Ready to know everything about football?