Conegliano vs Calvi Noale: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Conegliano the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Calvi Noale. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,938 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Conegliano vs Calvi Noale?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Conegliano (1,769) and Calvi Noale (1,729).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Conegliano vs Calvi Noale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Conegliano
Not enough data to predict the Conegliano lineup.
Calvi Noale
Not enough data to predict the Calvi Noale lineup.
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 12:58 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Conegliano have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Calvi Noale have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | Triestina(away) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mestre(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Este(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | LME(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | FC Obermais(home) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Clodiense(away) | 2-3 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Sandona(home) | 0-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Virtus Bolzano(away) | 3-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Brian Lignano(home) | 0-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Legnago Salus(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Conegliano win, 0 draws, 1 Calvi Noale win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Conegliano 1-0 Calvi Noale | Serie D - Girone C |
| Nov 9, 2025 | Calvi Noale 2-1 Conegliano | Serie D - Girone C |
Last archived meeting: Conegliano vs Calvi Noale on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Conegliano score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Calvi Noale score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 33% probability of over 2.5 goals and 40% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conegliano | 0.9 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
| Calvi Noale | 1.3 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Conegliano sit 11th in Serie D - Girone C (10 points from 8 matches) and Calvi Noale sit 14th (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Conegliano | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | Calvi Noale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 8 |
A question about Conegliano vs Calvi Noale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Conegliano vs Calvi Noale?
- The Footlab AI model makes Conegliano the favourite at 42%, against 32% for a draw and 26% for Calvi Noale.
- Where and when is Conegliano vs Calvi Noale played?
- Conegliano vs Calvi Noale is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC), in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 33% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.