Triestina vs Sandona: prediction and stats
Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste
The Footlab AI model makes Sandona the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Triestina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sandona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,617 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Triestina vs Sandona?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Triestina (1,644) and Sandona (1,728).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Triestina vs Sandona
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Triestina
4-3-3- 27A. Faggioli
- 9E. Vertainen
- 43O. Gningue
- 15I. Voca
- 17K. Jónsson
- 16J. Vicario
- 14M. Anzolin
- 23T. Silvestri
- 20H. Davis
- 5S. Kosijer
- 1K. Matošević
Sandona
Not enough data to predict the Sandona lineup.
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 08:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Triestina have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Sandona have 4, 2 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | LME(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | FC Obermais(home) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Cjarlins Muzane(away) | 0-3 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Bassano Virtus(home) | 1-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Campodarsego(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Calvi Noale(away) | 2-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Clodiense(away) | 1-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Este(home) | 0-0 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Virtus Bolzano(away) | 1-2 | Serie D - Girone C |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Brian Lignano(home) | 2-1 | Serie D - Girone C |
How many goals should we expect?
Triestina score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sandona score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Triestina | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Sandona | 1.1 | 0.6 | 4 | 3/7 | 2/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Triestina sit 15th in Serie D - Girone C (6 points from 7 matches) and Sandona sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Sandona | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 14 |
| 15 | Triestina | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
A question about Triestina vs Sandona?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Triestina vs Sandona?
- The Footlab AI model makes Sandona the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Triestina.
- Where and when is Triestina vs Sandona played?
- Triestina vs Sandona is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nereo Rocco, in the Serie D - Girone C.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.