Match

Triestina vs Sandona: prediction and stats

Serie D - Girone CGroup C - 17Kick-off on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadio Nereo Rocco, Trieste

TriestinaSandona

The Footlab AI model makes Sandona the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Triestina. The most likely score is 1-1. If Sandona wins, the most likely score is 0-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Triestina vs Sandona?

A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Triestina (1,659) and Sandona (1,743).

35%29%36%
Triestina winDrawSandona win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Triestina vs Sandona

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Triestina

4-3-3
  1. 27A. Faggioli
  2. 9E. Vertainen
  3. 43O. Gningue
  1. 15I. Voca
  2. 17K. Jónsson
  3. 16J. Vicario
  1. 14M. Anzolin
  2. 23T. Silvestri
  3. 20H. Davis
  4. 5S. Kosijer
  1. 1K. Matošević

Sandona

Not enough data to predict the Sandona lineup.

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 09:04 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Triestina have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Sandona have 4, 2 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Triestina
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026LME(away)1-2Serie D - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026FC Obermais(home)2-0Serie D - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Cjarlins Muzane(away)0-3Serie D - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Bassano Virtus(home)1-1Serie D - Girone C
Sep 16, 2026Campodarsego(away)1-2Serie D - Girone C
Sandona
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 11, 2026Calvi Noale(away)2-0Serie D - Girone C
Oct 4, 2026Clodiense(away)1-0Serie D - Girone C
Sep 27, 2026Este(home)0-0Serie D - Girone C
Sep 20, 2026Virtus Bolzano(away)1-2Serie D - Girone C
Sep 16, 2026Brian Lignano(home)2-1Serie D - Girone C

How many goals should we expect?

Triestina score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Sandona score 1.1 and concede 0.6. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Triestina1.31.749/158/15
Sandona1.10.643/72/7

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Triestina sit 15th in Serie D - Girone C (6 points from 7 matches) and Sandona sit 3rd (14 points from 7 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Sandona74218414
15Triestina71337106

A question about Triestina vs Sandona?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Triestina vs Sandona?
The Footlab AI model makes Sandona the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Triestina.
Where and when is Triestina vs Sandona played?
Triestina vs Sandona is played on December 20, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadio Nereo Rocco, in the Serie D - Girone C.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Triestina and Sandona

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