Nyva Ternopil vs SK Poltava: prediction and stats
Persha LigaRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Ternopilskyi miskyi stadion im. Romana Shukhevycha, Ternopil
The Footlab model makes Nyva Ternopil the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for SK Poltava. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Nyva Ternopil vs SK Poltava?
A very open match: only 47 Elo points separate Nyva Ternopil (1,568) and SK Poltava (1,616).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Nyva Ternopil have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; SK Poltava have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bukovyna(home) | 0-4 | Cup |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Inhulets(away) | 2-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 7, 2026 | UCSA(away) | 0-1 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | SK Poltava(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Oleksandria(away) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Mayak Sarny(away) | 0-0 | Cup |
| Aug 15, 2026 | UCSA(home) | 0-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Yarud Mariupol'(away) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Nyva Ternopil(home) | 1-1 | Persha Liga |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk(away) | 3-0 | Persha Liga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Nyva Ternopil win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 SK Poltava win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 2026 | SK Poltava 1-1 Nyva Ternopil | Persha Liga |
| Sep 18, 2025 | Nyva Ternopil 3-0 SK Poltava | Cup |
Last archived meeting: SK Poltava vs Nyva Ternopil on Aug 1, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Nyva Ternopil score 0.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; SK Poltava score 0.9 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nyva Ternopil | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| SK Poltava | 0.9 | 1.6 | 5 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Nyva Ternopil sit 8th in Persha Liga (5 points from 4 matches) and SK Poltava sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | SK Poltava | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Nyva Ternopil | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Nyva Ternopil vs SK Poltava?
- The Footlab model makes Nyva Ternopil the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for SK Poltava.
- Where and when is Nyva Ternopil vs SK Poltava played?
- Nyva Ternopil vs SK Poltava is played on November 21, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Ternopilskyi miskyi stadion im. Romana Shukhevycha, in the Persha Liga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.