Lommel United vs Cercle Brugge: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Soeverein Stadion, Lommel
The Footlab model makes Lommel United the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Cercle Brugge. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lommel United vs Cercle Brugge?
A very open match: only 12 Elo points separate Lommel United (1,881) and Cercle Brugge (1,892).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lommel United have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Cercle Brugge have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Charleroi(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 14, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reims(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lommel United win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Cercle Brugge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2017 | Lommel United 0-1 Cercle Brugge | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Cercle Brugge 0-5 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 3, 2017 | Lommel United 0-1 Cercle Brugge | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Cercle Brugge 1-0 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 14, 2016 | Cercle Brugge 3-1 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2016 | Lommel United 1-1 Cercle Brugge | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Lommel United vs Cercle Brugge on Apr 21, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Lommel United score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Cercle Brugge score 1.9 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lommel United | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Cercle Brugge | 1.9 | 2.1 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lommel United sit 8th in Jupiler Pro League (4 points from 3 matches) and Cercle Brugge sit 13th (2 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lommel United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 13 | Cercle Brugge | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lommel United vs Cercle Brugge?
- The Footlab model makes Lommel United the favourite at 40%, against 27% for a draw and 33% for Cercle Brugge.
- Where and when is Lommel United vs Cercle Brugge played?
- Lommel United vs Cercle Brugge is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Soeverein Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.