Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 4Kick-off on August 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)Jan Breydelstadion, Brugge
The Footlab model makes Cercle Brugge the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Lommel United. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United?
A very open match: only 29 Elo points separate Cercle Brugge (1,896) and Lommel United (1,867).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cercle Brugge have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Lommel United have 8, 2 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 3-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 2-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Reims(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | PEC Zwolle(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Charleroi(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 15, 2026 | OH Leuven(away) | 1-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Cercle Brugge win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Lommel United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2017 | Lommel United 0-1 Cercle Brugge | Challenger Pro League |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Cercle Brugge 0-5 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Feb 3, 2017 | Lommel United 0-1 Cercle Brugge | Challenger Pro League |
| Nov 20, 2016 | Cercle Brugge 1-0 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 14, 2016 | Cercle Brugge 3-1 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 3, 2016 | Lommel United 1-1 Cercle Brugge | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Lommel United vs Cercle Brugge on Apr 21, 2017
How many goals should we expect?
Cercle Brugge score 1.9 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Lommel United score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cercle Brugge | 1.9 | 2.1 | 2 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
| Lommel United | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cercle Brugge sit 11th in Jupiler Pro League (2 points from 2 matches) and Lommel United sit 13th (1 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Cercle Brugge | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
| 13 | Lommel United | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United?
- The Footlab model makes Cercle Brugge the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Lommel United.
- Where and when is Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United played?
- Cercle Brugge vs Lommel United is played on August 29, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC) at Jan Breydelstadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.