Genk vs KV Mechelen: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Cegeka Arena, Genk
The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-1. If Genk wins, the most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 2,930 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 21, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Genk vs KV Mechelen?
Genk starts as the favourite with a 169-point Elo edge (2,095 vs 1,926).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Genk vs KV Mechelen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Genk
4-3-3- 17R. Durosinmi
- 10J. Ito
- 32Noah Adedeji-Sternberg
- 8B. Heynen
- 4B. Tahirović
- 38D. Heymans
- 20K. Amaro
- 18J. Kayembe
- 44J. Kongolo
- 6M. Smets
- 28L. Kiaba Mounganga
KV Mechelen
3-4-2-1- 9M. van Brederode
- 6F. Hammar
- 7T. Koudou
- 23S. Michez
- 30Marco Decherf
- 26D. Praet
- 17C. Van Meirvenne
- 3José Marsà
- 44M. Eerdhuijzen
- 20K. Corbanie
- 13Nacho Mirás
Computed on October 21, 2026 at 06:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Genk have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; KV Mechelen have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Excelsior Virton(away) | 2-0 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Kortrijk(home) | 3-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Fortuna Sittard(home) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 4-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Anderlecht(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Genk wins, 1 draw, 1 KV Mechelen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2026 | KV Mechelen 2-3 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Genk 0-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jan 18, 2025 | KV Mechelen 1-2 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Genk 2-1 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 11, 2024 | KV Mechelen 1-1 Genk | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Genk 4-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
How many goals should we expect?
Genk score 1.6 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; KV Mechelen score 1.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Genk | 1.6 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 11/15 |
| KV Mechelen | 1.3 | 1.8 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Genk sit 7th in Jupiler Pro League (12 points from 8 matches) and KV Mechelen sit 14th (6 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Genk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 12 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 6 |
A question about Genk vs KV Mechelen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Genk vs KV Mechelen?
- The Footlab AI model makes Genk the favourite at 58%, against 24% for a draw and 18% for KV Mechelen.
- Where and when is Genk vs KV Mechelen played?
- Genk vs KV Mechelen is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Cegeka Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.