Match

Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi: prediction and stats

Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 34Kick-off on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Joseph Mariën, Brussels

Union St. GilloiseCharleroi

The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Charleroi. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union St. Gilloise wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,566 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi?

Union St. Gilloise starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (2,342 vs 2,122).

55%24%21%
Union St. Gilloise winDrawCharleroi win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Union St. Gilloise

3-1-4-2
  1. 38R. Mofokeng
  2. 30R. Florucz
  1. 6K. Van de Perre
  2. 27L. Patris
  3. 11Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
  4. 23B. Zeneli
  5. 20D. Aquino
  1. 29M. Sylla
  2. 4N. Chibani
  3. 55N. Havenaar
  1. 12H. Koffi

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
  1. 21A. Scheidler
  1. 8J. Romsaas
  2. 18Y. Khalifi
  3. 6A. Boukamir
  4. 14P. Pflücke
  5. 20F. Situmona Mbemba
  1. 3K. Van Den Kerkhof
  2. 95C. Keita
  3. 4A. Ousou
  4. 24M. Nzita
  1. 30M. Koné

Computed on November 5, 2026 at 03:49 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Union St. Gilloise have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeat; Charleroi have 10, 1 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Union St. Gilloise
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026SK Beveren(away)2-1Jupiler Pro League
Oct 25, 2026Cercle Brugge(home)5-2Jupiler Pro League
Oct 22, 2026Hapoel Beer Sheva(home)4-0UEFA Europa League
Oct 18, 2026Nijlen(home)3-0Cup
Oct 15, 2026Real Sociedad(home)1-1UEFA Europa League
Charleroi
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026RAAL La Louvière(home)5-2Jupiler Pro League
Oct 24, 2026Antwerp(away)0-3Jupiler Pro League
Oct 17, 2026Albert Quévy-Mons(away)1-0Cup
Oct 11, 2026Standard Liege(away)1-0Jupiler Pro League
Sep 19, 2026Cercle Brugge(home)3-2Jupiler Pro League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Union St. Gilloise wins, 2 draws, 0 Charleroi wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 5, 2026Charleroi 2-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
Feb 11, 2026Union St. Gilloise 4-1 CharleroiCup
Feb 4, 2026Charleroi 0-0 Union St. GilloiseCup
Dec 14, 2025Charleroi 1-1 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
Oct 18, 2025Union St. Gilloise 3-1 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
Jan 11, 2025Charleroi 1-2 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League

Last archived meeting: Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise on Sep 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Union St. Gilloise score 2.8 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Charleroi score 1.9 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Union St. Gilloise2.80.787/1511/15
Charleroi1.91.459/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Union St. Gilloise sit 2nd in Jupiler Pro League (26 points from 10 matches) and Charleroi sit 4th (24 points from 10 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Union St. Gilloise1082029726
4Charleroi10802211224

A question about Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi?
The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 55%, against 24% for a draw and 21% for Charleroi.
Where and when is Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi played?
Union St. Gilloise vs Charleroi is played on May 22, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Joseph Mariën, in the Jupiler Pro League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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