Lommel United vs OH Leuven: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Soeverein Stadion, Lommel
The Footlab model makes Lommel United the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for OH Leuven. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lommel United vs OH Leuven?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Lommel United (1,881) and OH Leuven (1,831).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lommel United have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; OH Leuven have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Charleroi(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | St. Truiden(away) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | ADO Den Haag(home) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 18, 2026 | GO Ahead Eagles(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(home) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Charleroi(away) | 1-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Lille(home) | 3-6 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Heerenveen(away) | 4-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Club Brugge II(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lommel United win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 OH Leuven win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jul 15, 2026 | OH Leuven 5-1 Lommel United | Friendlies Clubs |
| Feb 8, 2020 | OH Leuven 3-0 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Dec 6, 2019 | Lommel United 3-2 OH Leuven | Challenger Pro League |
| Oct 20, 2019 | Lommel United 0-2 OH Leuven | Challenger Pro League |
| Sep 22, 2019 | OH Leuven 1-0 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
| Apr 26, 2019 | OH Leuven 1-0 Lommel United | Challenger Pro League |
Last archived meeting: OH Leuven vs Lommel United on Jul 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lommel United score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; OH Leuven score 1.5 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lommel United | 1.7 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| OH Leuven | 1.5 | 2.3 | 2 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lommel United sit 8th in Jupiler Pro League (4 points from 3 matches) and OH Leuven sit 16th (0 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lommel United | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| 16 | OH Leuven | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lommel United vs OH Leuven?
- The Footlab model makes Lommel United the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for OH Leuven.
- Where and when is Lommel United vs OH Leuven played?
- Lommel United vs OH Leuven is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Soeverein Stadion, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.