Zulte Waregem vs Union St. Gilloise: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Elindus Arena, Waregem
The Footlab model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Zulte Waregem. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zulte Waregem vs Union St. Gilloise?
Union St. Gilloise starts as the favourite with a 208-point Elo edge (2,191 vs 1,983).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zulte Waregem have 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 defeats; Union St. Gilloise have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | SK Beveren(home) | 4-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise(away) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Genk(home) | 2-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Beerschot VA(away) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Sparta Rotterdam(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zulte Waregem(home) | 0-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(away) | 2-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | KVC Westerlo(away) | 5-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bodo/Glimt(home) | 3-3 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 1-1 | Super Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Zulte Waregem win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Union St. Gilloise win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise 0-0 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 2-0 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 2-1 Zulte Waregem | Cup |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Zulte Waregem 1-4 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Union St. Gilloise 4-0 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Zulte Waregem 1-3 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zulte Waregem score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Union St. Gilloise score 2.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zulte Waregem | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Union St. Gilloise | 2.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 10/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zulte Waregem sit 3rd in Jupiler Pro League (7 points from 3 matches) and Union St. Gilloise sit 7th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Zulte Waregem | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 |
| 7 | Union St. Gilloise | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zulte Waregem vs Union St. Gilloise?
- The Footlab model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 48%, against 26% for a draw and 26% for Zulte Waregem.
- Where and when is Zulte Waregem vs Union St. Gilloise played?
- Zulte Waregem vs Union St. Gilloise is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Elindus Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.