Zulte Waregem vs Union St. Gilloise: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Elindus Arena, Waregem
The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Zulte Waregem. The most likely score is 1-1. If Union St. Gilloise wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,046 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Zulte Waregem vs Union St. Gilloise?
Union St. Gilloise starts as the favourite with a 270-point Elo edge (2,288 vs 2,018).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Zulte Waregem vs Union St. Gilloise
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Zulte Waregem
4-3-3- 18A. Ementa
- 20T. Hedl
- 10M. Mbaye
- 11M. Aké
- 6E. Lofolomo
- 8T. Claes
- 4L. Lemoine
- 5J. Kiilerich
- 55Y. Cappelle
- 23S. Diakité
- 1L. Bostyn
Union St. Gilloise
3-1-4-2- 9M. Biondic
- 38R. Mofokeng
- 27L. Patris
- 11Guilherme Henriques da Silva Carvalho
- 23B. Zeneli
- 6K. Van de Perre
- 28D. Olaru
- 29M. Sylla
- 55N. Havenaar
- 4N. Chibani
- 12H. Koffi
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 12:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Zulte Waregem have 7 wins, 4 draws and 4 defeats; Union St. Gilloise have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gent(home) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lille(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 0-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Charleroi(home) | 0-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Hapoel Beer Sheva(home) | 4-0 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Nijlen(home) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Real Sociedad(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 1-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Antwerp(away) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Zulte Waregem wins, 1 draw, 5 Union St. Gilloise wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Union St. Gilloise 0-0 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 2-0 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 3, 2025 | Union St. Gilloise 2-1 Zulte Waregem | Cup |
| Nov 1, 2025 | Zulte Waregem 1-4 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 5, 2023 | Union St. Gilloise 4-0 Zulte Waregem | Jupiler Pro League |
| Sep 4, 2022 | Zulte Waregem 1-3 Union St. Gilloise | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Union St. Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Zulte Waregem score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Union St. Gilloise score 2.6 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zulte Waregem | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Union St. Gilloise | 2.6 | 0.8 | 8 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Zulte Waregem sit 8th in Jupiler Pro League (11 points from 8 matches) and Union St. Gilloise sit 4th (20 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Union St. Gilloise | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 22 | 4 | 20 |
| 8 | Zulte Waregem | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 11 |
A question about Zulte Waregem vs Union St. Gilloise?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Zulte Waregem vs Union St. Gilloise?
- The Footlab AI model makes Union St. Gilloise the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Zulte Waregem.
- Where and when is Zulte Waregem vs Union St. Gilloise played?
- Zulte Waregem vs Union St. Gilloise is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Elindus Arena, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.