RAAL La Louvière vs Charleroi: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stade Communal du Tivoli, La Louvière
The Footlab model makes Charleroi the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for RAAL La Louvière. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win RAAL La Louvière vs Charleroi?
Charleroi starts as the favourite with a 136-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,850).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, RAAL La Louvière have 2 wins, 3 draws and 10 defeats; Charleroi have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Standard Liege(away) | 0-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gent(home) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Anderlecht(away) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eintracht Braunschweig(away) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Samsunspor(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | KV Mechelen(home) | 2-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Lommel United(away) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Seraing United(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 RAAL La Louvière win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Charleroi win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | Charleroi 0-0 RAAL La Louvière | Jupiler Pro League |
| Aug 10, 2025 | RAAL La Louvière 1-0 Charleroi | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: Charleroi vs RAAL La Louvière on Nov 29, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
RAAL La Louvière score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Charleroi score 1.5 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RAAL La Louvière | 0.7 | 1.8 | 2 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Charleroi | 1.5 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
RAAL La Louvière sit 15th in Jupiler Pro League (0 points from 3 matches) and Charleroi sit 2nd (9 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Charleroi | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 15 | RAAL La Louvière | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for RAAL La Louvière vs Charleroi?
- The Footlab model makes Charleroi the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for RAAL La Louvière.
- Where and when is RAAL La Louvière vs Charleroi played?
- RAAL La Louvière vs Charleroi is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Communal du Tivoli, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.