St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen: prediction and stats
Jupiler Pro LeagueRegular Season - 19Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, St.-Trond
The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for KV Mechelen. The most likely score is 1-1. If St. Truiden wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,795 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
On Elo ratings, St. Truiden has 2,096 points and KV Mechelen 2,018.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
St. Truiden
4-2-3-1- 19F. Soelle Soelle
- 8A. Sissako
- 10I. Sebaoui
- 11N. Mbuku
- 18N. Ishiwatari
- 14R. Merlen
- 23J. Pupe
- 26V. Musliu
- 4K. Takai
- 3T. Hata
- 16L. Kokubo
KV Mechelen
3-4-1-2- 9M. van Brederode
- 14B. Raman
- 6F. Hammar
- 7T. Koudou
- 30Marco Decherf
- 23S. Michez
- 26D. Praet
- 3José Marsà
- 20K. Corbanie
- 44M. Eerdhuijzen
- 1O. De Wolf
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 05:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, St. Truiden have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; KV Mechelen have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2026 | Brann(home) | 1-1 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Nov 1, 2026 | OH Leuven(home) | 1-2 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Club Brugge KV(away) | 2-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 22, 2026 | FC Midtjylland(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Lommel United(home) | 4-1 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2026 | Kortrijk(away) | 3-1 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Genk(home) | 1-0 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | AS Eupen(home) | 5-1 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | St. Truiden(home) | 4-3 | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Karpaty(home) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 St. Truiden wins, 1 draw, 1 KV Mechelen win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | KV Mechelen 4-3 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| May 24, 2026 | St. Truiden 3-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Apr 26, 2026 | KV Mechelen 1-4 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Dec 21, 2025 | St. Truiden 1-0 KV Mechelen | Jupiler Pro League |
| Oct 4, 2025 | KV Mechelen 1-3 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
| Feb 21, 2025 | KV Mechelen 1-1 St. Truiden | Jupiler Pro League |
Last archived meeting: KV Mechelen vs St. Truiden on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
St. Truiden score 1.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; KV Mechelen score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| St. Truiden | 1.9 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| KV Mechelen | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
St. Truiden sit 15th in Jupiler Pro League (8 points from 10 matches) and KV Mechelen sit 10th (12 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | KV Mechelen | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 18 | 12 |
| 15 | St. Truiden | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 8 |
A question about St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen?
- The Footlab AI model makes St. Truiden the favourite at 51%, against 25% for a draw and 24% for KV Mechelen.
- Where and when is St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen played?
- St. Truiden vs KV Mechelen is played on January 30, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Daio Wasabi Stayen Stadium, in the Jupiler Pro League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.