Longford Town vs UCD: prediction and stats
First DivisionSemi-finalsKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Bishopsgate Stadium, Longford Town
The Footlab AI model makes Longford Town the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for UCD. The most likely score is 1-1. If Longford Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,810 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Longford Town vs UCD?
A very open match: only 25 Elo points separate Longford Town (1,372) and UCD (1,398).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Longford Town vs UCD
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Longford Town
4-3-3- 14D. Williams
- 9S. Ugbesia
- 7D. George
- 6S. Adenekan
- 10A. Doran
- 28Sean Moore
- 21J. Hough
- 5T. McCarthy
- 12C. Omorehiomwan
- 8Pharrell Manuel
- 1K. Moore
UCD
4-3-3- 24S. Norval
- 15Charles Akinrintayo
- 25G. Lavin
- 8L. Dignam
- 12M. Alonge
- 10C. Behan
- 14H. Curtis
- 18N. Holohan
- 22Thomas Morley
- 5C. Lennox
- 1D. Kavanagh
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 04:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Longford Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; UCD have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Athlone Town(home) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | UCD(away) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Wexford(away) | 3-3 | First Division |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cork City(home) | 2-1 | First Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Finn Harps(away) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Wexford(away) | 5-2 | First Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Longford Town(home) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Treaty United(away) | 4-0 | First Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Bray Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | First Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Cork City(away) | 1-5 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Longford Town win, 2 draws, 3 UCD wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | UCD 1-1 Longford Town | First Division |
| Jul 4, 2026 | Longford Town 2-1 UCD | First Division |
| May 1, 2026 | UCD 2-0 Longford Town | First Division |
| Mar 7, 2026 | Longford Town 0-0 UCD | First Division |
| Sep 12, 2025 | UCD 2-1 Longford Town | First Division |
| Jun 28, 2025 | Longford Town 0-2 UCD | First Division |
How many goals should we expect?
Longford Town score 2.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; UCD score 2.3 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 64% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Longford Town | 2.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| UCD | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 13/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Longford Town sit 5th in First Division (49 points from 35 matches) and UCD sit 3rd (53 points from 35 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | UCD | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 62 | 49 | 53 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 48 | 46 | 49 |
A question about Longford Town vs UCD?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Longford Town vs UCD?
- The Footlab AI model makes Longford Town the favourite at 42%, against 24% for a draw and 34% for UCD.
- Where and when is Longford Town vs UCD played?
- Longford Town vs UCD is played on October 24, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Bishopsgate Stadium, in the First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 64% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.