Kerry vs Bray Wanderers: prediction and stats
First DivisionSemi-finalsKick-off on October 24, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC)
The Footlab AI model makes Kerry the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Bray Wanderers. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,805 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 19, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?
Kerry starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,489 vs 1,368).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Kerry vs Bray Wanderers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Kerry
4-3-3- 7Sean McGrath
- 10C. Murphy
- 17Cian Brosnan
- 24V. Borden
- 28Niall Brookwell
- 35Arran Healy
- 14J. Häkkinen
- 3S. O'Connell
- 18S. Aladesanusi
- 29E. Lee
- 1Matthew Connor
Bray Wanderers
4-3-3- 21Endri Mustali
- 20T. Sammy
- 11I. Achara
- 18B. McCormack
- 2A. Kizenga
- 10R. Ferizaj
- 12D. Osagie
- 27D. O'Shea
- 4J. Duggan
- 33B. Shelley
- 13R. Hogan
Computed on October 19, 2026 at 05:24 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kerry have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; Bray Wanderers have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cork City(home) | 1-1 | First Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers(away) | 2-0 | First Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Finn Harps(away) | 2-1 | First Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Wexford(home) | 1-0 | First Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Athlone Town(away) | 0-3 | First Division |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Finn Harps(away) | 0-2 | First Division |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Wexford(home) | 2-2 | First Division |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Cobh Ramblers(home) | 1-4 | First Division |
| Sep 25, 2026 | UCD(away) | 3-1 | First Division |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Treaty United(home) | 2-0 | First Division |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Kerry wins, 1 draw, 3 Bray Wanderers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Kerry 0-1 Bray Wanderers | First Division |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bray Wanderers 0-4 Kerry | First Division |
| May 22, 2026 | Kerry 2-2 Bray Wanderers | First Division |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Bray Wanderers 2-1 Kerry | First Division |
| Oct 17, 2025 | Bray Wanderers 5-1 Kerry | First Division |
| Jun 20, 2025 | Kerry 2-1 Bray Wanderers | First Division |
Last archived meeting: Kerry vs Bray Wanderers on Sep 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kerry score 1.5 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Bray Wanderers score 1.5 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerry | 1.5 | 1.2 | 5 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Bray Wanderers | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kerry sit 4th in First Division (51 points from 35 matches) and Bray Wanderers sit 2nd (54 points from 35 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bray Wanderers | 35 | 15 | 9 | 11 | 67 | 51 | 54 |
| 4 | Kerry | 35 | 14 | 9 | 12 | 44 | 40 | 51 |
A question about Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kerry vs Bray Wanderers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Kerry the favourite at 69%, against 19% for a draw and 12% for Bray Wanderers.
- Where and when is Kerry vs Bray Wanderers played?
- Kerry vs Bray Wanderers is played on October 24, 2026 at 06:45 PM (UTC), in the First Division.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.