Lorient II vs Tarbes: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 16Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade Jean Charter 1, Quimperle
The Footlab AI model makes Lorient II the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Tarbes. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lorient II wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,495 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorient II vs Tarbes?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Lorient II (1,782) and Tarbes (1,750).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lorient II vs Tarbes
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lorient II
Not enough data to predict the Lorient II lineup.
Tarbes
4-3-3- 9Y. Fellrath
- 6B. Ait Malek
- 11V. Delanys
- 7Sofiane El Bekri
- 33Alexandre Amorin
- 22M. Cato
- 31A. Ben Aicha
- 2J. Willock
- 4P. Bentayou
- 17Faris Sinare
- 1T. Navaux
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 10:55 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorient II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Tarbes have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Stade Briochin(away) | 3-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(away) | 3-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bayonne(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tarbes(away) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(home) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Les Herbiers(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Angoulême(home) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Châteaubriant(away) | 0-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Lorient II(home) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Lorient II wins, 0 draws, 1 Tarbes win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tarbes 1-0 Lorient II | National 2 - Group B |
| Feb 21, 2015 | Lorient II 2-1 Tarbes | National 2 - Group D |
| Sep 13, 2014 | Tarbes 1-2 Lorient II | National 2 - Group D |
How many goals should we expect?
Lorient II score 1.6 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tarbes score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient II | 1.6 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Tarbes | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorient II sit 8th in National 2 - Group B (9 points from 6 matches) and Tarbes sit 7th (9 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tarbes | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 |
| 8 | Lorient II | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | 9 |
A question about Lorient II vs Tarbes?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorient II vs Tarbes?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lorient II the favourite at 43%, against 28% for a draw and 29% for Tarbes.
- Where and when is Lorient II vs Tarbes played?
- Lorient II vs Tarbes is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Jean Charter 1, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.