Saumur vs Bayonne: prediction and stats
National 2 - Group BGroup B - 16Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stade des Rives du Thouet, Saumur
The Footlab AI model makes Bayonne the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Saumur. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bayonne wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,044 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Saumur vs Bayonne?
Bayonne starts as the favourite with a 221-point Elo edge (1,871 vs 1,650).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Saumur vs Bayonne
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Saumur
Not enough data to predict the Saumur lineup.
Bayonne
Not enough data to predict the Bayonne lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 03:33 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Saumur have 2 wins, 5 draws and 8 defeats; Bayonne have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Granville(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Saint-Malo(away) | 1-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stade Briochin(home) | 1-4 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Le Poiré sur Vie(away) | 0-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Pontivy GSI(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Dinan Léhon(away) | 2-0 | National 2 - Group B |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Les Herbiers(home) | 0-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Angoulême(away) | 2-2 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Châteaubriant(home) | 2-1 | National 2 - Group B |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lorient II(away) | 1-0 | National 2 - Group B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Saumur wins, 0 draws, 3 Bayonne wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bayonne 1-0 Saumur | National 2 - Group B |
| May 16, 2026 | Bayonne 3-2 Saumur | National 2 - Group A |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Saumur 0-1 Bayonne | National 2 - Group A |
How many goals should we expect?
Saumur score 0.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bayonne score 1.5 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saumur | 0.7 | 1.9 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Bayonne | 1.5 | 0.9 | 6 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Saumur sit 13th in National 2 - Group B (7 points from 7 matches) and Bayonne sit 2nd (16 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Bayonne | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 16 |
| 13 | Saumur | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 7 |
A question about Saumur vs Bayonne?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Saumur vs Bayonne?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bayonne the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Saumur.
- Where and when is Saumur vs Bayonne played?
- Saumur vs Bayonne is played on February 6, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stade des Rives du Thouet, in the National 2 - Group B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.