Lorient vs Lens: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient
The Footlab AI model makes Lens the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Lorient. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lens wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,384 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 14, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lorient vs Lens?
Lens starts as the favourite with a 145-point Elo edge (2,159 vs 2,015).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lorient vs Lens
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lorient
3-4-2-1- 42M. Kone
- 17J. Makengo
- 43K. Kouassi
- 8N. Cadiou
- 33G. Bernardeau
- 2A. Georgen
- 10I. Jensen
- 32N. Adjei
- 3M. Talbi
- 20D. Sylla
- 38Y. Mvogo
Lens
3-4-2-1- 11O. Édouard
- 10F. Thauvin
- 14M. Udol
- 27M. Cuisance
- 2R. Aguilar
- 8Y. Titraoui
- 21A. Haidara
- 32K. Antonio
- 25I. Ganiou
- 24J. Gradit
- 40R. Risser
Computed on October 14, 2026 at 01:57 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lorient have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Lens have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Paris FC(home) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Toulouse(home) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lens(away) | 1-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Estac Troyes(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Sporting CP(home) | 0-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Lyon(home) | 2-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 18, 2026 | Monaco(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Le Mans(away) | 2-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Slavia Praha(away) | 3-2 | UEFA Champions League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Lorient wins, 1 draw, 3 Lens wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lens 0-1 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Lorient 2-1 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 2, 2025 | Lens 3-0 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| May 3, 2024 | Lens 2-0 Lorient | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Lorient 0-0 Lens | Ligue 1 |
| May 21, 2023 | Lorient 1-3 Lens | Ligue 1 |
How many goals should we expect?
Lorient score 1.6 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Lens score 1.8 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 1.6 | 1.2 | 6 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Lens | 1.8 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lorient sit 8th in Ligue 1 (8 points from 6 matches) and Lens sit 10th (7 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Lorient | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 8 |
| 10 | Lens | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 7 |
A question about Lorient vs Lens?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lorient vs Lens?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lens the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 30% for Lorient.
- Where and when is Lorient vs Lens played?
- Lorient vs Lens is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.