Lyon vs Strasbourg: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Groupama Stadium, Saint-Denis
The Footlab model makes Lyon the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Strasbourg. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lyon vs Strasbourg?
Lyon starts as the favourite with a 124-point Elo edge (2,129 vs 2,005).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lyon have 9 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats; Strasbourg have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Toulouse(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Fenerbahçe(away) | 1-1 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Sparta Praha(home) | 3-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Sparta Praha(away) | 1-2 | UEFA Champions League |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Real Betis(away) | 0-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Marseille(away) | 0-4 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Newcastle(away) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SC Freiburg(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Elversberg(home) | 2-5 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Brighton(away) | 3-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Lyon win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Strasbourg win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2026 | Strasbourg 3-1 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Lyon 2-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Mar 28, 2025 | Strasbourg 4-2 Lyon | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 30, 2024 | Lyon 4-3 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| May 19, 2024 | Lyon 2-1 Strasbourg | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 27, 2024 | Lyon 0-0 Strasbourg | Coupe de France |
How many goals should we expect?
Lyon score 2.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Strasbourg score 1.2 and concede 2.6. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 2.1 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Strasbourg | 1.2 | 2.6 | 0 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lyon sit 4th in Ligue 1 (3 points from 1 matches) and Strasbourg sit 18th (0 points from 1 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Strasbourg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lyon vs Strasbourg?
- The Footlab model makes Lyon the favourite at 60%, against 21% for a draw and 19% for Strasbourg.
- Where and when is Lyon vs Strasbourg played?
- Lyon vs Strasbourg is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Groupama Stadium, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.