Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29: prediction and stats
Ligue 1Regular Season - 27Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stade Orange Vélodrome, Marseille
The Footlab AI model makes Marseille the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Stade Brestois 29. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marseille wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.6% of the 3,447 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29?
Marseille starts as the favourite with a 102-point Elo edge (2,077 vs 1,975).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marseille
4-2-3-1- 9A. Gouiri
- 8H. Abdelli
- 14Igor Paixão
- 77A. Harit
- 7A. Gomes
- 6T. Nnadi
- 33Emerson
- 4C. Egan-Riley
- 22T. Weah
- 21N. Aguerd
- 12J. de Lange
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1- 19L. Ajorque
- 13J. Chotard
- 8H. Magnetti
- 23K. Doumbia
- 9P. Mboup
- 17Mama Baldé
- 2B. Locko
- 4G. Lloris
- 70K. Lala
- 29L. Tousart
- 1E. Selvik
Computed on October 25, 2026 at 04:36 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marseille have 7 wins, 0 draws and 8 defeats; Stade Brestois 29 have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 2026 | Sturm Graz(away) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Angers(away) | 5-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Olympiakos Piraeus(home) | 0-1 | UEFA Europa League |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Estac Troyes(away) | 2-0 | Ligue 1 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Paris Saint Germain(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Nice(home) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Lille(away) | 1-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Angers(home) | 5-1 | Ligue 1 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Monza(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Auxerre(away) | 1-2 | Ligue 1 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Marseille wins, 0 draws, 2 Stade Brestois 29 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2026 | Stade Brestois 29 2-0 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Marseille 3-0 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Apr 27, 2025 | Marseille 4-1 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 17, 2024 | Stade Brestois 29 1-5 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Feb 18, 2024 | Stade Brestois 29 1-0 Marseille | Ligue 1 |
| Aug 26, 2023 | Marseille 2-0 Stade Brestois 29 | Ligue 1 |
Last archived meeting: Stade Brestois 29 vs Marseille on Feb 20, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Marseille score 1.7 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Stade Brestois 29 score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 1.7 | 1.4 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Stade Brestois 29 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 0 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marseille sit 10th in Ligue 1 (9 points from 7 matches) and Stade Brestois 29 sit 11th (9 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Marseille | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | 9 |
| 11 | Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 9 |
A question about Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marseille the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Stade Brestois 29.
- Where and when is Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29 played?
- Marseille vs Stade Brestois 29 is played on April 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stade Orange Vélodrome, in the Ligue 1.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.