Los Llanos vs Lanzarote: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Aceró, Los Llanos de Aridane
The Footlab model makes Los Llanos the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Lanzarote. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Llanos vs Lanzarote?
Lanzarote starts as the favourite with a 148-point Elo edge (1,782 vs 1,634).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Llanos have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Lanzarote have 2, 9 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2025 | Panadería Pulido(home) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 4, 2025 | Tamaraceite(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 26, 2025 | Las Palmas II(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Herbania(away) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 12, 2025 | San Bartolomé(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(home) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Tamaraceite(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | UD San Fernando(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Herbania(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Los Llanos win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Lanzarote win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | Lanzarote 3-0 Los Llanos | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 26, 2024 | Los Llanos 0-1 Lanzarote | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Lanzarote vs Los Llanos on Mar 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Los Llanos score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Lanzarote score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Llanos | 0.9 | 1.5 | 5 | 4/15 | 8/15 |
| Lanzarote | 0.8 | 1.0 | 4 | 8/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lanzarote | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 48 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Llanos vs Lanzarote?
- The Footlab model makes Los Llanos the favourite at 37%, against 31% for a draw and 33% for Lanzarote.
- Where and when is Los Llanos vs Lanzarote played?
- Los Llanos vs Lanzarote is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Aceró, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 38% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Oct 18, 2026Las Palmas IIIvsMensajero
- Oct 18, 2026MarinovsEstrella
- Oct 18, 2026Panadería PulidovsSan Miguel
- Oct 18, 2026Real Unión de TenerifevsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Oct 18, 2026Laguna de DuerovsPlayas Sotavento
- Oct 18, 2026San BartolomévsTenerife C
- Oct 18, 2026Villaverde NortevsAnaza