Where and when is Las Palmas III vs Mensajero played?

Las Palmas III vs Mensajero is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Las Palmas III vs Mensajero: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas III

Mensajero

The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Mensajero. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Las Palmas III vs Mensajero?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Las Palmas III (1,819) and Mensajero (1,859).

Las Palmas III win44 %

Draw29 %

Mensajero win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Las Palmas III have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Mensajero have 9, 2 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Las Palmas III
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	San Miguel(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Atlético Paso(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026	Tenisca(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 22, 2026	Panadería Pulido(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026	Real Unión de Tenerife(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Mensajero
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Tamaraceite(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 16, 2026	Tamaraceite(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 10, 2026	UD San Fernando(home)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026	Arucas(away)	1-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026	Villa Santa Brígida(home)	2-0	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Las Palmas III win(s), 1 draw(s), 5 Mensajero win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 1, 2026	Mensajero 3-1 Las Palmas III	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 18, 2025	Las Palmas III 1-1 Mensajero	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 22, 2021	Mensajero 2-1 Las Palmas III	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 1, 2021	Las Palmas III 1-3 Mensajero	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Mar 8, 2020	Mensajero 2-1 Las Palmas III	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Oct 19, 2019	Las Palmas III 2-4 Mensajero	Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Mensajero vs Las Palmas III on Mar 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Las Palmas III score 1.3 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Mensajero score 1.3 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Las Palmas III	1.3	1.1	4	8/15	5/15
Mensajero	1.3	0.9	7	6/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Las Palmas III sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (54 points from 34 matches) and Mensajero sit 4th (63 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
4	Mensajero	34	18	9	7	51	31	63
6	Las Palmas III	34	15	9	10	58	42	54

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Las Palmas III vs Mensajero?: The Footlab model makes Las Palmas III the favourite at 44%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Mensajero.
Where and when is Las Palmas III vs Mensajero played?: Las Palmas III vs Mensajero is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Gran Canaria, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.