Match

San Bartolomé vs Tenerife C: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 7Kick-off on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé

San BartoloméTenerife C

The Footlab model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Tenerife C. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win San Bartolomé vs Tenerife C?

A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate San Bartolomé (1,707) and Tenerife C (1,743).

San Bartolomé win37 %
Draw28 %
Tenerife C win35 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 4 wins, 7 draws and 4 defeats; Tenerife C have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

San Bartolomé
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Tenerife C(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Lanzarote(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026UD San Fernando(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026Arucas(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026Villa Santa Brígida(home)2-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Tenerife C
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026San Bartolomé(home)0-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026UD San Fernando(away)0-5Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026Arucas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026Villa Santa Brígida(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 11, 2026Unión Sur Yaiza(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 1 San Bartolomé win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Tenerife C win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Tenerife C 0-1 San BartoloméTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Jan 10, 2026San Bartolomé 1-3 Tenerife CTercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Tenerife C vs San Bartolomé on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

San Bartolomé score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife C score 1.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
San Bartolomé1.11.357/157/15
Tenerife C1.01.726/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

San Bartolomé sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (36 points from 34 matches) and Tenerife C sit 7th (52 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Tenerife C34141010494652
14San Bartolomé3481214305536

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs Tenerife C?
The Footlab model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 37%, against 28% for a draw and 35% for Tenerife C.
Where and when is San Bartolomé vs Tenerife C played?
San Bartolomé vs Tenerife C is played on October 18, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: San Bartolomé and Tenerife C

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