Match

Los Llanos vs Marino: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 1Kick-off on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Aceró, Los Llanos de Aridane

Los LlanosMarino

The Footlab model makes Los Llanos the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Marino. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Los Llanos vs Marino?

A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Los Llanos (1,634) and Marino (1,705).

Los Llanos win39 %
Draw29 %
Marino win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Llanos have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Marino have 0, 10 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Los Llanos
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 11, 2025Panadería Pulido(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 4, 2025Tamaraceite(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2025Las Palmas II(home)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 17, 2025Herbania(away)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2025San Bartolomé(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Marino
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 26, 2026Tenerife(home)0-6Friendlies Clubs
May 10, 2026Arucas(home)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 1, 2026Villa Santa Brígida(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 26, 2026Unión Sur Yaiza(home)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 18, 2026San Miguel(away)0-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Los Llanos win(s), 0 draw(s), 2 Marino win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 23, 2025Marino 4-0 Los LlanosTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 9, 2024Los Llanos 0-2 MarinoTercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Marino vs Los Llanos on Mar 23, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Los Llanos score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Marino score 0.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Los Llanos0.91.554/158/15
Marino0.71.538/155/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Marino3481511444039

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Los Llanos vs Marino?
The Footlab model makes Los Llanos the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Marino.
Where and when is Los Llanos vs Marino played?
Los Llanos vs Marino is played on September 6, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Aceró, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Los Llanos and Marino

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