Marino vs Tenerife C: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, Los Cristianos (Tenerife)
The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Tenerife C. The most likely score is 1-1. If Marino wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.4% of the 3,651 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Marino vs Tenerife C?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Marino (1,746) and Tenerife C (1,796).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Marino vs Tenerife C
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Marino
Not enough data to predict the Marino lineup.
Tenerife C
Not enough data to predict the Tenerife C lineup.
Computed on October 26, 2026 at 11:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Marino have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Tenerife C have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 0-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Los Llanos(away) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Unión Sur Yaiza(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Playas Sotavento(home) | 6-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 2-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 17, 2026 | San Bartolomé(away) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Villaverde Norte(home) | 4-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Marino wins, 0 draws, 0 Tenerife C wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2026 | Tenerife C 0-2 Marino | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Marino 1-0 Tenerife C | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
Marino score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tenerife C score 1.5 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 63% probability of over 2.5 goals and 64% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marino | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Tenerife C | 1.5 | 1.9 | 0 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Marino sit 6th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (13 points from 8 matches) and Tenerife C sit 5th (14 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Tenerife C | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 14 |
| 6 | Marino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 10 | 13 |
A question about Marino vs Tenerife C?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Marino vs Tenerife C?
- The Footlab AI model makes Marino the favourite at 49%, against 24% for a draw and 27% for Tenerife C.
- Where and when is Marino vs Tenerife C played?
- Marino vs Tenerife C is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Antonio Domínguez Alfonso, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 63% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 15, 2026San Fernando CDvsSan Miguel
- Nov 15, 2026Las Palmas IIIvsVillaverde Norte
- Nov 15, 2026Panadería PulidovsSan Bartolomé
- Nov 15, 2026Unión Sur YaizavsEstrella
- Nov 15, 2026Real Unión de TenerifevsMensajero
- Nov 15, 2026Laguna de DuerovsVilla Santa Brígida
- Nov 15, 2026Los LlanosvsAnaza
- Nov 15, 2026Playas SotaventovsLanzarote