San Bartolomé vs Playas Sotavento: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 12Group 12 - 1Kick-off on October 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, San Bartolomé
The Footlab AI model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Playas Sotavento. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win San Bartolomé vs Playas Sotavento?
On Elo ratings, San Bartolomé has 1,734 points and Playas Sotavento 1,698.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for San Bartolomé vs Playas Sotavento
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
San Bartolomé
Not enough data to predict the San Bartolomé lineup.
Playas Sotavento
Not enough data to predict the Playas Sotavento lineup.
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 10:37 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, San Bartolomé have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Playas Sotavento have 0, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Tenerife C(home) | 2-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mensajero(away) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Villa Santa Brígida(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lanzarote(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Estrella(home) | 4-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Laguna de Duero(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Real Unión de Tenerife(home) | 0-3 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Marino(away) | 1-6 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Los Llanos(home) | 2-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 20, 2026 | UD San Fernando(away) | 0-5 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
How many goals should we expect?
San Bartolomé score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Playas Sotavento score 0.7 and concede 2.9. The model gives a 69% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Bartolomé | 1.5 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Playas Sotavento | 0.7 | 2.9 | 0 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
San Bartolomé sit 9th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 (9 points from 6 matches) and Playas Sotavento sit 18th (2 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | San Bartolomé | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 10 | 9 |
| 18 | Playas Sotavento | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 2 |
A question about San Bartolomé vs Playas Sotavento?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for San Bartolomé vs Playas Sotavento?
- The Footlab AI model makes San Bartolomé the favourite at 71%, against 17% for a draw and 12% for Playas Sotavento.
- Where and when is San Bartolomé vs Playas Sotavento played?
- San Bartolomé vs Playas Sotavento is played on October 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Pedro Espinosa De León, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 69% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 21, 2026Villaverde NortevsUnión Sur Yaiza
- Oct 21, 2026Tenerife CvsVilla Santa Brígida
- Oct 21, 2026San MiguelvsEstrella
- Oct 21, 2026Las Palmas IIIvsLaguna de Duero
- Oct 21, 2026Panadería PulidovsMensajero
- Oct 21, 2026Los LlanosvsMarino
- Oct 21, 2026UD San FernandovsReal Unión de Tenerife
- Oct 21, 2026AnazavsLanzarote