Armagh City vs Strabane Athletic: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 28Kick-off on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Holm Park, Armagh
The Footlab model makes Strabane Athletic the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Armagh City. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Armagh City vs Strabane Athletic?
Strabane Athletic starts as the favourite with a 262-point Elo edge (1,337 vs 1,075).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Armagh City have 0 wins, 6 draws and 9 defeats; Strabane Athletic have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Glenavon FC(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Institute(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | H&W Welders(home) | 1-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Glenavon FC(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Moyola Park(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Institute(home) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Limavady United(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
How many goals should we expect?
Armagh City score 0.5 and concede 2.5 goals per match over their last 15; Strabane Athletic score 1.5 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armagh City | 0.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Strabane Athletic | 1.5 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Armagh City sit 15th in Championship (2 points from 4 matches) and Strabane Athletic sit 14th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Armagh City | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 100 | 17 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 30 | 112 | 19 |
| 14 | Strabane Athletic | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Armagh City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Armagh City vs Strabane Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Strabane Athletic the favourite at 57%, against 22% for a draw and 20% for Armagh City.
- Where and when is Armagh City vs Strabane Athletic played?
- Armagh City vs Strabane Athletic is played on February 20, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Holm Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.