Loughgall vs Armagh City: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Lakeview Park, Loughgall
The Footlab model makes Loughgall the favourite at 85%, against 11% for a draw and 4% for Armagh City. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Loughgall vs Armagh City?
Loughgall is a heavy favourite: 1,387 Elo points against 1,076 — a 311-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Loughgall have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Armagh City have 0, 6 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ards(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Institute(away) | 0-0 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Newington Youth(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 3-1 | Championship |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Dungannon Swifts(home) | 1-4 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Glenavon FC(home) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | H&W Welders(away) | 0-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(away) | 0-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Queen's University(home) | 1-1 | Championship |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Institute(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Loughgall win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Armagh City win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | Loughgall 1-1 Armagh City | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Loughgall 2-1 Armagh City | Championship |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Armagh City 0-0 Loughgall | Championship |
| Oct 1, 2024 | Loughgall 2-3 Armagh City | League Cup |
Last archived meeting: Loughgall vs Armagh City on Mar 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Loughgall score 1.1 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Armagh City score 0.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loughgall | 1.1 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| Armagh City | 0.5 | 2.5 | 3 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Loughgall sit 3rd in Championship (8 points from 4 matches) and Armagh City sit 15th (2 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Loughgall | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 5 | Loughgall | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 51 |
| 6 | Loughgall | 38 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 56 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 33 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 28 | 100 | 17 |
| 12 | Armagh City | 38 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 30 | 112 | 19 |
| 15 | Armagh City | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Loughgall vs Armagh City?
- The Footlab model makes Loughgall the favourite at 85%, against 11% for a draw and 4% for Armagh City.
- Where and when is Loughgall vs Armagh City played?
- Loughgall vs Armagh City is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Lakeview Park, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.