Newry City AFC vs Annagh United: prediction and stats
ChampionshipRegular Season - 8Kick-off on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Showgrounds, Newry
The Footlab model makes Annagh United the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Newry City AFC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Newry City AFC vs Annagh United?
Annagh United starts as the favourite with a 143-point Elo edge (1,388 vs 1,244).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Newry City AFC have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Annagh United have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Warrenpoint Town(home) | 0-3 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rathfriland(away) | 2-1 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Glenavon FC(home) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Ballinamallard United(away) | 1-0 | Championship |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Bangor(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Moyola Park(home) | 2-0 | Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dundela(away) | 2-2 | Championship |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Rathfriland(home) | 4-2 | Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Newington Youth(away) | 1-4 | Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ballymena United(home) | 2-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Newry City AFC win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Annagh United win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Annagh United 4-0 Newry City AFC | Championship |
| Nov 29, 2024 | Newry City AFC 0-2 Annagh United | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Annagh United 1-0 Newry City AFC | Championship |
| Jul 20, 2023 | Annagh United 0-2 Newry City AFC | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 9, 2022 | Annagh United 1-1 Newry City AFC | Championship |
| Feb 25, 2022 | Newry City AFC 0-3 Annagh United | Championship |
Last archived meeting: Annagh United vs Newry City AFC on Jan 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Newry City AFC score 1.1 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Annagh United score 1.5 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Newry City AFC | 1.1 | 1.2 | 7 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Annagh United | 1.5 | 2.1 | 1 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Newry City AFC sit 10th in Championship (6 points from 4 matches) and Annagh United sit 7th (7 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Annagh United | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 39 | 72 |
| 2 | Annagh United | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 54 | 27 | 71 |
| 7 | Annagh United | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Newry City AFC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Newry City AFC vs Annagh United?
- The Footlab model makes Annagh United the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 30% for Newry City AFC.
- Where and when is Newry City AFC vs Annagh United played?
- Newry City AFC vs Annagh United is played on September 19, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Showgrounds, in the Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.