Lovćen vs Grbalj: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 14Kick-off on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Sveti Petar Cetinjski, Cetinje
The Footlab model makes Grbalj the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Lovćen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lovćen vs Grbalj?
A very open match: only 79 Elo points separate Lovćen (1,277) and Grbalj (1,357).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lovćen have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Grbalj have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Jedinstvo(away) | 3-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mladost Lješkopolje(home) | 0-3 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Iskra(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| May 24, 2026 | Igalo(away) | 4-2 | Second League |
| May 20, 2026 | Kom(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Mogren(away) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Zeta(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Bokelj(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| May 29, 2026 | Bokelj(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| May 24, 2026 | Internacional Podgorica(home) | 2-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lovćen win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Grbalj win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Lovćen 0-2 Grbalj | Second League |
| Mar 4, 2026 | Grbalj 1-0 Lovćen | Second League |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Lovćen 0-2 Grbalj | Second League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Grbalj 2-0 Lovćen | Second League |
| Apr 23, 2025 | Lovćen 1-1 Grbalj | Second League |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Grbalj 2-2 Lovćen | Second League |
How many goals should we expect?
Lovćen score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Grbalj score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lovćen | 0.9 | 1.2 | 5 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
| Grbalj | 1.4 | 1.3 | 4 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lovćen sit 8th in Second League (3 points from 2 matches) and Grbalj sit 3rd (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Grbalj | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Lovćen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lovćen vs Grbalj?
- The Footlab model makes Grbalj the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Lovćen.
- Where and when is Lovćen vs Grbalj played?
- Lovćen vs Grbalj is played on October 31, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Sveti Petar Cetinjski, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.