Lübeck II vs Union Neumünster: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Stadion an der Lohmühle - Platz 4, Lübeck
The Footlab model makes Union Neumünster the favourite at 59%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Lübeck II. The most likely score is 1-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lübeck II vs Union Neumünster?
Union Neumünster starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,821 vs 1,642).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lübeck II have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Union Neumünster have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(home) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(home) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(away) | 0-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 2-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Todesfelde(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Oldenburger SV(away) | 4-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rotenhof(away) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(away) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(home) | 0-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Lübeck II win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Union Neumünster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025 | Union Neumünster 3-0 Lübeck II | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 24, 2024 | Lübeck II 0-5 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 25, 2023 | Union Neumünster 5-1 Lübeck II | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 3, 2023 | Lübeck II 3-2 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 20, 2022 | Lübeck II 0-5 Union Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2022 | Union Neumünster 4-0 Lübeck II | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Union Neumünster vs Lübeck II on Mar 1, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Lübeck II score 2.1 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Union Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 81% probability of over 2.5 goals and 76% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lübeck II | 2.1 | 2.0 | 3 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Union Neumünster | 2.3 | 2.2 | 1 | 12/15 | 14/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lübeck II sit 16th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (0 points from 5 matches) and Union Neumünster sit 8th (8 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Union Neumünster | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| 16 | Lübeck II | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lübeck II vs Union Neumünster?
- The Footlab model makes Union Neumünster the favourite at 59%, against 19% for a draw and 23% for Lübeck II.
- Where and when is Lübeck II vs Union Neumünster played?
- Lübeck II vs Union Neumünster is played on October 3, 2026 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Stadion an der Lohmühle - Platz 4, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 81% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.