Oldenburger SV vs Heider SV: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 11Kick-off on October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Hans-Peter-Storm-Stadion, Oldenburg in Holstein
The Footlab model makes Oldenburger SV the favourite at 49%, against 19% for a draw and 31% for Heider SV. The most likely score is 2-2.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Oldenburger SV vs Heider SV?
A very open match: only 95 Elo points separate Oldenburger SV (1,689) and Heider SV (1,784).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Oldenburger SV have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Heider SV have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Union Neumünster(home) | 1-4 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Nordmark Satrup(away) | 3-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Rotenhof(home) | 2-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Lübeck II(home) | 4-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | TSB Flensburg(away) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hohenwestedt(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | VfR Neumünster(away) | 1-6 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Kaltenkirchen(home) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Holstein Kiel II(away) | 1-5 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | VfB Lübeck(home) | 1-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Oldenburger SV win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Heider SV win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2025 | Oldenburger SV 3-1 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Heider SV 4-1 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Heider SV 2-1 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 16, 2024 | Oldenburger SV 5-4 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Apr 27, 2024 | Oldenburger SV 2-1 Heider SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Oct 28, 2023 | Heider SV 2-2 Oldenburger SV | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: Oldenburger SV vs Heider SV on Nov 30, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Oldenburger SV score 1.9 and concede 2.7 goals per match over their last 15; Heider SV score 1.5 and concede 2.5. The model gives a 84% probability of over 2.5 goals and 81% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oldenburger SV | 1.9 | 2.7 | 1 | 13/15 | 13/15 |
| Heider SV | 1.5 | 2.5 | 1 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Oldenburger SV sit 9th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (7 points from 5 matches) and Heider SV sit 13th (4 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Oldenburger SV | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 7 |
| 13 | Heider SV | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Oldenburger SV vs Heider SV?
- The Footlab model makes Oldenburger SV the favourite at 49%, against 19% for a draw and 31% for Heider SV.
- Where and when is Oldenburger SV vs Heider SV played?
- Oldenburger SV vs Heider SV is played on October 4, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Hans-Peter-Storm-Stadion, in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 84% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.