Kaltenkirchen vs VfR Neumünster: prediction and stats
Oberliga - Schleswig-HolsteinSchleswig-Holstein - 11Kick-off on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes VfR Neumünster the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Kaltenkirchen. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kaltenkirchen vs VfR Neumünster?
VfR Neumünster starts as the favourite with a 100-point Elo edge (1,854 vs 1,753).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kaltenkirchen have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; VfR Neumünster have 9, 4 and 2.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Eckernförder SV(away) | 4-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Phönix L. II(home) | 1-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Heider SV(away) | 2-3 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | SV Eichede(home) | 1-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 0-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Phönix L. II(away) | 3-2 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Heider SV(home) | 6-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 8, 2026 | SV Eichede(away) | 2-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kilia Kiel(home) | 1-1 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Union Neumünster(away) | 3-0 | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Kaltenkirchen win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 VfR Neumünster win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | VfR Neumünster 0-0 Kaltenkirchen | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
| Sep 20, 2025 | Kaltenkirchen 4-3 VfR Neumünster | Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein |
Last archived meeting: VfR Neumünster vs Kaltenkirchen on Mar 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Kaltenkirchen score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; VfR Neumünster score 2.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaltenkirchen | 1.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| VfR Neumünster | 2.3 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 13/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kaltenkirchen sit 10th in Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein (6 points from 5 matches) and VfR Neumünster sit 1st (13 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfR Neumünster | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 | Kaltenkirchen | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kaltenkirchen vs VfR Neumünster?
- The Footlab model makes VfR Neumünster the favourite at 50%, against 22% for a draw and 27% for Kaltenkirchen.
- Where and when is Kaltenkirchen vs VfR Neumünster played?
- Kaltenkirchen vs VfR Neumünster is played on October 3, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC), in the Oberliga - Schleswig-Holstein.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.