Match

Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo: prediction and stats

Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, Luckenwalde

LuckenwaldeBFC Dynamo

The Footlab model makes BFC Dynamo the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Luckenwalde (1,778) and BFC Dynamo (1,843).

Luckenwalde win26 %
Draw29 %
BFC Dynamo win46 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luckenwalde have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; BFC Dynamo have 5, 5 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Luckenwalde
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026FSV Zwickau(away)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 8, 2026Tasmania Berlin(home)1-2Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 4, 2026Magdeburg II(away)1-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026RSV Eintracht(away)0-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 24, 2026Lokomotive Leipzig(home)1-3Regionalliga - Nordost
BFC Dynamo
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 14, 2026Hertha BSC II(away)1-1Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 9, 2026FSV Zwickau(home)0-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 6, 2026Erzgebirge Aue(away)2-3Regionalliga - Nordost
Aug 1, 2026BSG Chemie Leipzig(home)2-0Regionalliga - Nordost
Jul 24, 2026FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away)1-4Regionalliga - Nordost

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Luckenwalde win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 BFC Dynamo win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Luckenwalde 0-1 BFC DynamoRegionalliga - Nordost
Mar 25, 2026BFC Dynamo 0-1 LuckenwaldeRegionalliga - Nordost
Mar 11, 2025BFC Dynamo 0-0 LuckenwaldeRegionalliga - Nordost
Aug 25, 2024Luckenwalde 0-0 BFC DynamoRegionalliga - Nordost
Mar 28, 2024Luckenwalde 2-0 BFC DynamoRegionalliga - Nordost
Oct 8, 2023BFC Dynamo 4-0 LuckenwaldeRegionalliga - Nordost

Last archived meeting: Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo on May 10, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Dynamo score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Luckenwalde0.91.439/156/15
BFC Dynamo1.41.367/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Luckenwalde sit 15th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and BFC Dynamo sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
13BFC Dynamo5122685
15Luckenwalde51045113

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo?
The Footlab model makes BFC Dynamo the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Luckenwalde.
Where and when is Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo played?
Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Luckenwalde and BFC Dynamo

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