Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo: prediction and stats
Regionalliga - NordostNordost - 7Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC)Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, Luckenwalde
The Footlab model makes BFC Dynamo the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Luckenwalde. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo?
A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Luckenwalde (1,778) and BFC Dynamo (1,843).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luckenwalde have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; BFC Dynamo have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(away) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tasmania Berlin(home) | 1-2 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Magdeburg II(away) | 1-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | RSV Eintracht(away) | 0-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Lokomotive Leipzig(home) | 1-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | Hertha BSC II(away) | 1-1 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 9, 2026 | FSV Zwickau(home) | 0-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Erzgebirge Aue(away) | 2-3 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 1, 2026 | BSG Chemie Leipzig(home) | 2-0 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Jul 24, 2026 | FC Rot-Weiß Erfurt(away) | 1-4 | Regionalliga - Nordost |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Luckenwalde win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 BFC Dynamo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Luckenwalde 0-1 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 25, 2026 | BFC Dynamo 0-1 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 11, 2025 | BFC Dynamo 0-0 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Luckenwalde 0-0 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Mar 28, 2024 | Luckenwalde 2-0 BFC Dynamo | Regionalliga - Nordost |
| Oct 8, 2023 | BFC Dynamo 4-0 Luckenwalde | Regionalliga - Nordost |
Last archived meeting: Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Luckenwalde score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; BFC Dynamo score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luckenwalde | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| BFC Dynamo | 1.4 | 1.3 | 6 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Luckenwalde sit 15th in Regionalliga - Nordost (3 points from 5 matches) and BFC Dynamo sit 13th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | BFC Dynamo | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 5 |
| 15 | Luckenwalde | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo?
- The Footlab model makes BFC Dynamo the favourite at 46%, against 29% for a draw and 26% for Luckenwalde.
- Where and when is Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo played?
- Luckenwalde vs BFC Dynamo is played on August 30, 2026 at 12:00 PM (UTC) at Werner-Seelenbinder-Stadion, in the Regionalliga - Nordost.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 28, 2026Chemnitzer FCvsFC Carl Zeiss Jena
- Aug 28, 2026AltglienickevsBSG Chemie Leipzig
- Aug 29, 2026Hertha BSC IIvsHallescher FC
- Aug 29, 2026FC Rot-Weiß ErfurtvsBFC Preussen
- Aug 29, 2026FSV ZwickauvsSV Babelsberg 03
- Aug 30, 2026Lokomotive LeipzigvsErzgebirge Aue
- Aug 30, 2026Tasmania BerlinvsGreifswalder FC
- Aug 30, 2026RSV EintrachtvsMagdeburg II